[NewPacifica] Re: planting nuclear evidence in Iran the hard way



That's what I said: "details, details!  who needs those
details? The place we hit is radioactive, what more do you
need to know?"

--Frank

========================================================
--- In NewPacifica@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Robert Knight"
<theknightreport@...> wrote:
>
> The *"frame Iran with a tactical nuclear weapon" *scenario is
sufficiently
> implausible as to to deter the Bush administration from accepting even
> Israel's urging for such an attack on Iran's Natanz nuclear energy
> development site.
> 
> A US first launch of nuclear weapons would arouse such global
opprobtium and
> protest that professional military officials would be strongly
opposed to
> crossing that Rubicon.
> 
> Moreover, as others here have amply intimated, such an attack would
likely
> be ineffective in (1) breaching Natanz' hardened subterranean walls,
and (2)
> "framing" Iran with the claim that the residual fallout was from a
reactor,
> rather than an American nuclear weapon such as the B61-11s currently
in the
> US stockpile.
> 
> Here's why:
> 
> (1) The laws of conservation of momentum limit so-called "penetrator"
> weapons to a maximum depth of ~100 feet before impact threatens to
> prematurely destroy the nuclear warhead contained within the
delivery shell.
> As a result, such an imagined attack would likely be ineffective in
> destroying the target; and the effective detonation depth would
inevitably
> release its telltale fallout into the atmosphere, where the IAEA, and
> innumerable official and private nuclear researchers in the region would
> pounce on the evidence of the airborne fallout plume.
> 
> (2) The fallout signature of the tactical nuke would be profoundly
different
> from Iran's Uranium fuel designed for subcritical reactor fission rather
> than a nuclear explosion. Nuclear weapon isotope signatures would
contauin a
> much higher proportion of short-half-life isotopes peculiar to the
> detonation. The neutron flux and other artefacts would easily
identify the
> bomb fallout for what it is.
> 
> *In summary, it's not that the Bush administration is insufficiently
evil to
> enact the suggested scenario. It's that they are insufficiently
stupid to do
> so*.
> 
> Those seeking a scientific assessment of the scenario may benefit from
> perusing:
> 
> "Low-Yield Earth-Penetrating Nuclear Weapons" By Robert W. Nelson
> http://www.fas.org/faspir/2001/v54n1/weapons.htm
> 
> Wikipedia's "Nuclear Fallout"
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fallout
> 
> and
> 
> "B61-11 Earth-Penetrating Weapon"
> http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/systems/b61-11.htm
> 
> *-Robert Knight*
> 
> 
> On 11/26/07, F. Frank Le Fever, Ph.D. <fflefever@...> wrote:
> >
> > Bush would say--"details, details!  who needs those
> > details? The place we hit is radioactive, what more do you
> > need to know?"
> >
> > --Frank
> >
> > ==============================================
>




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